Ceprode Grisk Alliance

A comprehensive overview of the activities, strategic focus areas, methodologies, and regional analysis worked by G‐RISK Security & Intelligence Services and CEPRODE.

Prepared: January, 2012

Author: Ceprode.es

G‐RISK Security & Intelligence Services and CEPRODE provide advanced risk management, strategic analysis, business intelligence, and country risk services, with a strong presence in Europe, Latin America, and the Gulf.

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1. Security Overview

• G‐RISK Security & Intelligence Services is described as a leading security company in Europe, specializing in risk prevention linked to operational activity and exemplary crisis management.

  
  

• Main strengths include:

  
  

  • Threat Identification: Recognizing forms in which strategic threats manifest.

  • Vulnerability Assessment: Calculating the likelihood of specific negative consequences based on system weaknesses.

  • Risk Analysis: Both qualitative and quantitative approaches employed for thorough analysis.

Strategic Threats and Risk Factors

• Addressed vulnerabilities include pandemics, IT security incidents, unexpected events, unreliable supply chains, regulation/deregulation, global terrorism, climate-related risks, obsolescence, acquisitions, corporate culture, resource nationalism, and geopolitical influences.

Governance and Standards

Corporate Governance

• IT Governance and Information Security Governance are crucial pillars.

• COBIT (Control Objective for Information and related Technology) is cited as the leading internationally-recognized guideline for IT Governance.

Security Process Stages

• The documentation illustrates process methods for security risk management, including mapping standards, regulations, and controls for IT and physical security environments.

Physical Security

• Outlines security markets and specific infrastructure, such as:

  
  

  • Borders

  • Pipeline Security: Typical deployment includes patrol vehicles, wireless LAN, video, GPS, sensing units, and centralized pipeline control centers.

2. Business Support Services

• Accompaniment of Enterprises: Advising and assisting Latin American and European companies in finding strategic partners and securing contracts in transportation, water, oil & gas, energy, and infrastructure.

  
  

• Presence and connections in various countries, specifically Gulf nations:

  • Oman

  • Kuwait

  • Libya

  • Iraq

  • Qatar

  • Turkey

3. Corporate Intelligence

• Large corporations must operate in complex, evolving environments with unpredictable governance structures.

• Their internal affairs monitoring focuses on protecting assets, personnel, and corporate reputation.

  
  

• The approach includes:

  • Verifying interlocutors' reliability for contractual relationships.

  • Conducting integrity checks on clients and intermediaries, especially regarding criminal background (fraud, money laundering, corruption, industrial and financial espionage).

  • Validating identity, professional history, and checking for negative events.

4. Country Analysis

• Analytical Center: Focus on future scenarios, prospectives, and strategic planning, particularly for the Andean region (Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia).

• Problem Diagnosis: High uncertainty about political futures hinders decision-making and confuses politicians, business leaders, and international cooperation.

• Venezuela Case Study:

  
  

  • Objective 1: Provide analysis, diagnostics, and early alerts, using validated methodologies to guide strategic planning.

  • Objective 2: Supply privileged, confidential, sensitive, and high-profile information for business executive decision-making. Includes scenario planning and workshops.

Methodology

• Combines expert analysis with advanced software, such as game theory models, to enhance uncertainty management.

Key Regional Insights: Venezuela, Peru

Venezuela

• Political Uncertainty: High degree of unpredictability in the political landscape.

• Popularity and Political Trends:

  • Surveys from four polling organizations in days prior to MUD primaries showed Hugo Chávez with a voting intention between 44% and 58%. Henrique Capriles polled between 25% and 34%.

  • Post-February 12, 2012 studies indicate Chávez’s vote intention remains high (near or above 50%).

    
    

• Presidential Approval:

  • Monthly averages for 2011 highlight a resurgence in perceived popularity for Chávez.

  • Direct polling on the government’s performance reports a stronger positive evaluation for Chávez’s administration.

Peru

• Government Milestone: On November 5, 2011, the Peruvian government led by President Ollanta Humala celebrated 100 days in office.

• Policy Initiatives: Early term measures focused on high-impact social policies aligned with campaign promises.

Economic Indicators

• GDP per Capita (PPP): Regional data captured in diagrams; specifics not provided, but shows comparative analysis across Andean countries.

Services Offered

• Business Accompaniment: Support in strategic partnership formation and contract acquisition in vital sectors.

• Political Analysis & Foresight: High-level country risk analysis, scenario building, and security consultancy.

• Citizen Security Consulting: Addressing both individual and enterprise needs in volatile geopolitical climates.

Conclusion

G‐RISK Security & Intelligence Services and CEPRODE provide advanced risk management, strategic analysis, business intelligence, and country risk services, with a strong presence in Europe, Latin America, and the Gulf.

Our methodologies integrate expert knowledge, technological tools, and validated procedures to offer actionable intelligence, security governance, and geopolitical insights for corporate and governmental clients.